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DTN Midday Grain Comments 07/25 10:48
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures Lower at Midday
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are 5
to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are 1 to 6 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are 5
to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are 1 to 6 cents lower. The U.S. stock market
is firmer with the S&P 15 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 35 points
higher. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is mixed with crude
.50 lower and natural gas .02 higher. Livestock trade is mostly lower. Precious
metals are weaker with gold 40.00 lower.
CORN:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday with trade once again fading
back from a test of nearby resistance with broad ag weakness and little fresh
news. Ethanol margins look to remain stable in the short term with corn and
unleaded weakness Friday. The forecast keeps rains mixed in with the expected
warmer stretch to start next week. The daily export wire saw sales for new crop
of 140,000 metric tons (mt) to South Korea, and 102,870 mt to Mexico. Basis
looks to remain rangebound to softer in the short term. On the September chart,
the 20-day moving average at $4.04, which we faded back from overnight, is
resistance with the recent low at $3.91 1/4 as support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 5 to 6 cents lower at midday with trade fading back
toward the lower end of the range with broad product weakness with meal back
near the lows. Meal is 1.00 to 2.00 lower and oil is 40 to 50 points lower. The
forecast looks to keep sustained stress limited into early podfill season.
Basis will likely remain flat in the short term. The daily export wire saw
142,500 mt of new-crop beans sold to Mexico. On the September chart, resistance
is the 20-day moving average at $10.09, which we have faded from on strength
this week, and the recent low at $9.85 1/4 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 1 to 6 cents lower with trade again fading back from the
test of resistance seen late Thursday as the dollar rebounds and fresh news
remains limited and world values fade as well. Winter wheat harvest should
continue to head down the home stretch with spring wheat harvest drawing
closer. MATIF wheat is weaker again as we continue to wash back from the upper
end of the range seen early in the week. On the KC September chart, resistance
is the 20-day moving average at $5.28, which we tested at the close Thursday,
with the lower Bollinger Band at $5.09 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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